肝脏 ›› 2026, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (3): 326-330.

• 肝功能衰竭 • 上一篇    下一篇

营养风险筛查评分与慢加急性肝衰竭患者90天预后的关系

汤瑞, 薛红, 卞兆连   

  1. 226006 南通 南通市第三人民医院血液净化中心(汤瑞),肝病科(薛红),消化科(卞兆连)
  • 收稿日期:2025-06-18 出版日期:2026-03-31 发布日期:2026-05-19
  • 通讯作者: 卞兆连,Email:bianzhaolian1998@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    南通市科技局项目(JC2023115);南通市卫生健康委员会科研课题专项(MS2024063,MSZ2025054),江苏省“六大人才高峰”培养项目(YY-177);江苏省第五期“333工程”科研资助立项项目(BRA2020196);本论文受江苏省慢性病防控关键技术开发与转化工程研究中心资助(CDSGK1202521)

The relationship between nutritional risk screening scores and 90-day prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

TANG Rui1, XUE Hong2, BIAN Zhao-lian3   

  1. 1. Blood Purification Center, Nantong Third Hospital Affiliated to Nantong University, Nantong Third People′s Hospital, Nantong 226006, China;
    2. Department of Hepatology, Nantong Third Hospital Affiliated to Nantong University, Nantong Third People′s Hospital, Nantong 226006, China;
    3. Department of Gastroenterology, Nantong Third Hospital Affiliated to Nantong University, Nantong Third People′s Hospital, Nantong 226006, China
  • Received:2025-06-18 Online:2026-03-31 Published:2026-05-19
  • Contact: BIAN Zhao-lian, Email: bianzhaolian1998@163.com

摘要: 目的 探讨营养风险筛查(nutritional risk screening ,NRS)评分对慢加急性肝衰竭(acute-on-chronic liver failure,ACLF)患者预后的评估价值。方法 收集2021年8月至2023年8月在南通市第三人民医院诊治的228例ACLF患者的临床资料,根据入院后90 d生存情况分为生存组139例和死亡组89例。分析NRS评分与CTP评分、MELD系列评分的相关性;运用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)分析NRS评分、CTP评分、MELD系列评分对ACLF患者90 d预后的评估效能;Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线。结果 两组间年龄、性别、并发症、ALT、AST、肾功能及血常规等差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。生存组BMI、Alb、凝血酶原活动度分别为21.30(20.90,22.23)kg/m2、(30.61±4.02)g/L、28.21(23.96,32.35)%;死亡组分别为19.27(18.59,19.94)kg/m2、(27.18±3.26)g/L、21.85(17.60,25.73)%,两组间差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。死亡组TBil、NRS评分、CTP评分、MELD评分、MELD-Na评分、iMELD评分分别为335.55(246.25,431.08)μmol/L、4.00(4.00,5.00)、10.00(9.00,11.00)、23.02(20.85,25.86)、27.02(22.71,34.05)、49.83±7.25;生存组分别为225.20(185.68,288.45)μmol/L、2.00(2.00,3.00)、9.00(8.00,10.00)、19.67(17.62,22.88)、21.42(18.16,27.43)、43.66±7.52,两组间差异有统计学意义(P<0.05)。Pearson相关分析显示NRS评分与CTP评分(r=0.399,P<0.05)、MELD评分(r=0.301,P<0.05)、MELD-Na评分(r=0.234,P<0.05)及iMELD评分(r=0.302,P<0.05)呈正相关。ROC曲线分析显示NRS评分的AUC为0.896,大于MELD评分(0.707)、MELD-Na评分(0.688)、iMELD评分(0.735)和CTP评分(0.669)。Kaplan-Meier分析显示NRS评分≥3分ACLF患者的累积生存率为37.01%(47/127),显著低于NRS评分<3分患者的91.09%(92/101),差异有统计学意义(P<0.0001)。结论 NRS评分与ACLF 患者预后存在相关性,NRS评分≥3分的患者预后差,进行早期营养风险评估和采取相应干预措施有助于改善患者预后。

关键词: 慢加急性肝衰竭, 营养风险筛查, 营养不良, 预后

Abstract: Objective To explore the prognostic value of nutritional risk screening (NRS) scores in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), and to guide nutritional interventions for ACLF patients. Methods The clinical data of 228 ACLF patients treated at the Third People′s Hospital of Nantong from August 2021 to August 2023 were collected. Patients were divided into a survival and a death groups based on 90-day survival status post-admission. The correlation between NRS scores and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) series scores was analyzed; receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the diagnostic efficacy of NRS scores compared to CTP and MELD series scores; Kaplan-Meier method was employed to plot survival curves. Results There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, complications, ALT, AST, renal function, and blood routine between the two groups (P>0.05). The BMI, Alb, and prothrombin activity in the survival group were 21.30(20.90,22.23) kg/m2, (30.6±4.02)g/L, and 28.21(23.96,32.35)%, respectively. The BMI, Alb, and prothrombin activity in the death group were 19.27(18.59, 19.94)kg/m2, (27.18±3.26)g/L, and 21.85 (17.60,25.73)%, respectively. There were significant differences between the two groups (P<0.05). The TBil, NRS score, CTP score, MELD score, MELD-Na score, and iMELD score in the death group were 335.55 (246.25, 431.08)μmol/L, 4.00 (4.00, 5.00), 10.00 (9.00,11.00), 23.02 (20.85, 25.86), 27.02 (22.71, 34.05), and 49.83±7.25, respectively. The TBIL, NRS score, CTP score, MELD score, MELD-Na score, and iMELD score in the improvement group were 225.20 (185.68, 288.45)μmol/L, 2.00 (2.00,3.00), 9.00 (8.00,10.00), 19.67(17.62,22.88), 21.42 (18.16, 27.43), and 43.66 ±7.52, respectively. There were significant differences between the two groups (P<0.05). Pearson correlation analysis revealed a positive correlation between NRS scores and CTP scores(r=0.399,P<0.05), MELD scores(r=0.301,P<0.05), MELD-Na scores(r=0.234,P<0.05), and iMELD scores(r=0.302,P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for NRS scores(0.896)was superior to that of MELD scores(0.707), MELD-Na scores(0.688), iMELD scores(0.735), and CTP scores(0.669)(all P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis indicated that ACLF patients with NRS scores≥3 [37.01% (47/127)] had significantly lower cumulative survival rates than those with NRS scores<3[91.09%(92/101)](P<0.0001). Conclusion NRS scores are correlated with the prognosis of ACLF patients, and patients with NRS scores ≥ 3 (high nutritional risk group) have poorer outcomes. Early nutritional risk assessment and appropriate interventions can help to improve patients′ prognosis.

Key words: Acute-on-chronic liver failure, Nutritional risk screening, Malnutrition, Prognosis