肝脏 ›› 2019, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (10): 1116-1118.

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

肝硬化并脑出血患者预后危险因素分析

王丹, 牟劲松, 胡志军, 严冰冰, 匡志丹   

  1. 100039 北京 解放军总医院第五医学中心重症医学中心
  • 收稿日期:2019-07-09 发布日期:2020-03-27
  • 通讯作者: 牟劲松,Email:Jinsongmu@126.com

Prognostic risk factors in patients with cirrhosis and cerebral hemorrhage

WANG Dan, MU Jin-song, HU Zhi-jun, YAN Bing-bing, KUANG Zhi-dan   

  1. The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100039, China
  • Received:2019-07-09 Published:2020-03-27
  • Contact: MU Jin-song, Email: Jinsongmu@126.com

摘要: 目的 探讨肝硬化并脑出血患者的预后和病死率,分析影响预后的危险因素。方法 收集2008年12月至2018年7月解放军总医院第五医学中心收治的51例肝硬化并脑出血患者临床资料。根据出院情况将患者分为死亡组和好转组,对两组患者的临床特征进行比较,并探讨与预后相关的危险因素。结果 51例患者中,死亡31例,病死率为61%。单因素分析结果显示,死亡组与好转组患者的血肿面积分别为(57±28)mL、(25±11)mL,血小板分别为(31±27)×109/L、(62±21)×109/L,重度意识障碍分别为25例、5例,child评分C级为26例、8例,差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05)。多因素分析结果显示,血小板计数为肝硬化并脑出血患者预后的独立危险因素(P<0.05),血小板受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.894(0.803~0.986),灵敏度和特异度分别为100%和77.4%,最大约登指数为0.774。结论 血小板是肝硬化并脑出血患者预后的独立危险因素,与患者病死率呈正相关。肝硬化病因与并发脑出血有关,与预后无关。

关键词: 肝硬化, 脑出血, 肝衰竭

Abstract: Objective To analyze the clinical characteristics of patients with cirrhosis and cerebral hemorrhage, to study the prognosis and mortality of these patients, and to investigate the risk factors affecting prognosis. Methods Clinical data of 51 patients with cirrhosis and cerebral hemorrhage in our hospital from December 2008 to July 2018 were collected. The patients were divided into the death and the improvement groups according to discharge conditions. The clinical characteristics of the 2 groups and the risk factors for prognosis were analyzed and discussed. Results Thirty-one patients died when they were discharged from hospital, and the case fatality rate was 61%. Univariate analysis showed that the volumes of hematoma in the death and improvement groups were (57±28) ml and (25±11) ml, platelet counts were (31±27)×109/L and (62±21)×109/L. Numbers of cases with severe disturbance of consciousness were 25 and 5, with Child-Pugh C status was 26 and 8, the differences were statistically significant (P<0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that platelet count was an independent risk factor for prognosis of patients with cirrhosis and cerebral hemorrhage (P<0.05). The cut-off value was 30.5×109/L. The area under receiver operator characteristic curve was 0.894 (0.803-0.986), the sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 77.4%, respectively, and the maximum of Youden’s index was 0.774. Conclusion Platelet count is an independent risk factor for prognosis of patients with cirrhosis complicated with cerebral hemorrhage. The etiology of cirrhosis is related to the occurrence of cerebral hemorrhage, but has no relationship with prognosis.

Key words: Liver cirrhosis, Cerebral hemorrhage, Liver failure